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How daft is the DUP?

It’s a rhetorical question, of course. The answer is ‘pretty daft.’ After being buttered-up by British ministers on innumerable occasions since Brexit – only to find themselves let down more times than a well-bucket – they have now relented from their two-year boycott of the Good Friday Agreement institutions and returned to Stormont. Tail between […]

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So, what does 2024 look like?

Political prediction-peddling is a mug’s game. But let me nevertheless lurch forwards into the realm of pointless speculation, poring over the coffee grinds in my flat white in the process, and offer you the following. And so, 2024 begin much as 2023 ended. With Jeffrey Donaldson stood there, like a man wearing expensive new shoes […]

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Quite a week for United Irelanders

Quite a week for United Irelanders Leo. Colum. Wallace. Duncan. Members of Ireland’s latest boy band? Not quite, but this quartet have been singing mellifluously from the same hymn sheet this past week. Political leaders, Varadkar and Eastwood, trilling a new-found enthusiasm for Irish unity.  But the stand-out performance – the lead solo – came […]

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Thanks for everything, Boris

And, so, he is gone. Finito. Ceased to be. Goodbye Boris, we shan’t forget you. Your contribution to the cause of Irish unity will not be overlooked. The day after that border poll, as the sun shines across a single, 32-county Ireland, the multitudes will rejoice. Choirs of voices will sing your praises. ‘Thank-you Boris, […]

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Is a Fine Gael clear-out really on the cards?

There was a fascinating piece from Miriam Lord in last Saturday’s Irish Times. She suggests, with the casual authority of the informed commentator, that Leo Varadkar, Simon Coveney and Pascal Donohue will all quit frontline politics at the next Irish general election. Big news if so, representing a clear-out of Fine Gael’s top table. They […]

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United Irelanders are well on the way to having the votes needed to win a border poll

Teachers are fond of telling their pupils to ‘show their working out.’ Even if they don’t arrive at the correct answer, there is still merit in understanding the way in which they calculated it. So, just for fun – and on the back of a napkin – let me try and sketch out the emerging […]

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Britain’s just not that into Northern Ireland

John Alderice is not known for hyperbole. In fact, the quietly-spoken former Alliance leader and speaker of the Northern Ireland Assembly, who now sits in the House of Lords, usually keeps a pretty low profile. Until the other day. ‘It’s all over bar the shoutin’’ was the title of a post on his personal blog. […]

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50%+1= a united Ireland. And that is that

‘Losers’ consent’ is definitely my phrase of the week.  Employed by the eminent political scientist, Professor Brendan O’Leary at an event in Cork recently, it refers to the desirability of placating Unionists if they find themselves on the losing end of a future border poll. ‘If Unionists lose, they will have to consent to that […]

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Major’s right and Leo’s wrong: It’s time to set out border poll criteria

It was the matter-of-fact tone that struck me. Sir John Major, when asked whether he thought it was time to set out the requirements for holding a border poll on Northern Ireland’s constitutional status, described it as a ‘credible demand.’ Those of us familiar with the former Conservative Prime Minister’s habit of linguistic understatement (things […]

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Five takeaways from THAT election result

1. Shinners on a roll This was a spectacular result for Sinn Fein, by any measure. The ambition of dominating Irish politics, North and South, as a prelude to national reunification, continues apace. A whopping 7.7% added to the party’s vote share, with an additional 39 seats, is also powerful testimony to their iron discipline […]